If You Are Within The Radius of NYC You Belong Here!
There are a few CS: GO Twitch streamers who open hundreds of cases per week while spectators watch in hopes of capturing the moment where buy csgo skin something of great rarity is found. One of these streamers is ONSCREENlol, a very popular personality who opened more than 10,000 cases in 2015
Instead of speculating on how rare the good items really are, or basing their findings on a small sample size, one player decided to take the results from all 10,761 ONSCREENlol case openings in the last 12 months to come up with a relatively accurate explanation for why players are so used to seeing valueless Mil-Spec items when they open cases.
According to the data, your chances of getting anything other than Mil-Spec items are remarkably low. In-fact, you'll only receive an item of Restricted (purple) rarity or better in one out of every five to six case openings. Of those five to six case openings, the one where you do get lucky is much more likely to provide you with a Restricted item than anything else, as Classified items have roughly a 3.2% drop rate, and Covert sits at around 0.64%.